#position-sizing

2 posts tagged with "position-sizing"

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ai building

My Trading Bot Adjusts Its Own Bet Size. Here Are the 5 Rules.

How to build a self-tuning position sizing system that adjusts bet size based on recent performance, without overfitting or over-reacting to variance.

Nov 1, 2025 · 6 min

ai building

I Sized My Polymarket Bets Wrong. Kelly Criterion Fixed It.

I sized Polymarket bets wrong until I ran the Kelly math. Exact formula: fee drag, half-Kelly, worked example on live win-rate data.

Oct 1, 2025 · 8 min